Learn the signals. Forecast the outcome.
- Two signal cards appear. Choose Day (Q) or Night (P) within five seconds. Buttons and left/right arrow keys also work.
- The outcome is then shown for two seconds. Use this feedback to learn the repeating combinations.
- Each combination has a hidden probability. The same pair can produce different outcomes; one unexpected result does not necessarily mean your forecast was unreasonable.
- The associations stay fixed through 60 forecasts. Symbol order does not change their meaning in this practice.
- At the end, you can estimate your accuracy before seeing your results.
Pause or open these instructions whenever you need a break. Switching away from the page pauses the task.
This is an independent reconstruction using our own probabilities, timing and cue set. The icons are signals to learn, rather than literal weather rules.
A useful way to approach it
Learn from several appearances of the same pair. The icons are signals rather than literal weather clues, and a likely outcome can still fail to occur.
Understanding your results
Review early and later forecasts alongside the hidden practice probabilities. Forecast accuracy is specific to this generated run.
About the practice format
Ready to try Predict? This guide describes the game on Assessment Arcade. Follow your employer’s own invitation and instructions for any real assessment. Our original simulations do not reproduce proprietary items or scoring.