Start when you are ready.
Paused. Your current forecast and remaining time are preserved.
How accurate were your forecasts?
Estimate the percentage that matched the outcomes across all 60 rounds, including any missed forecasts.
This optional estimate lets you compare your impression with your outcome accuracy.
Your Predict results
| Rounds | Matched | Outcome accuracy | Missed | Mean response |
|---|
These are practice metrics, not an Arctic Shores score or pass mark. Outcomes are probabilistic: a reasonable forecast can still miss. The 60-round schedule, five-second window, cue combinations and probabilities are settings for this version. Accuracy includes missed forecasts; mean response time includes submitted forecasts and excludes pauses.
Reveal this run’s cue probabilities
Each cue combination has a fixed probability of Day for this run. A new attempt shuffles the cue associations and generates fresh outcomes. Observed outcomes can differ from these probabilities in a short sample.
| Cue pair | Shown | Day forecasts | Night forecasts | Day outcomes | Hidden chance of Day |
|---|
Round-by-round review
| Round | Cues | Your forecast | Outcome | Result | Response |
|---|